Typhoon Joe trajectory analysis
Track and Movement Characteristics
Typhoon Joe (198626) 的生命史始 at Northwest Pacific洋面, 整体路径呈现典型的“NW行后转 toward NE”的抛物线形态. formed初期 (11月18日至19日) , 系统自131.3°E附近 toward W direction快速Moving, 横穿Philippines以E海域, 经度在48h内W移约6度. 随着纬度N抬至15°N以N, 受副热带高压脊线及W风带引导气流影响, Moving direction逐渐由W转为NW, 进而转为正N.
Notably, the typhoon reached its westernmost position around 20:00 on November 21 at 124°E, 19.6°N, which can be regarded as the key turning point in its track. The system then shifted markedly eastward, with its longitude gradually increasing from 124°E to 130.4°E. Throughout its lifetime, the typhoon did not make landfall and remained over the sea, eventually weakening and dissipating over higher-latitude waters on November 25. This track pattern—first moving westward, then turning northward, and finally retreating eastward—is typical of late-autumn typhoons that turn under the dynamical influence of cold air squeezed along the edge of the subtropical high.
Intensity evolution and historical comparison
Joe underwent a complete formation, rapid intensification, peak, and decay cycle. Beginning as a tropical depression with winds of 10 m/s on November 18, the system rapidly strengthened while moving westward and developed into a severe tropical storm in less than 48 hours. From the evening of November 20 to the morning of November 21 was its rapid-intensification period, with pressure plunging from 965 hPa to 940 hPa and maximum winds rising to 45 m/s, reaching severe-typhoon strength. At 20:00 on November 21, the system reached its lifetime peak, with a minimum central pressure of 936 hPa. After maintaining high intensity for about 12 hours, it began to weaken.
The decay process was relatively gradual. From November 22, as the track turned toward the northeast and the system moved into colder waters at higher latitudes, pressure gradually rose and wind speed steadily declined, weakening to a tropical depression by the evening of November 24. Compared with storms of the same name, Joe in 1986 was significantly stronger than Joe in 1983, which peaked only as a severe tropical storm with a central pressure of 985 hPa. Its intensity was comparable to, but slightly stronger than, Joe in 1980, which peaked as a severe typhoon with a central pressure of 940 hPa; Joe in 1986 reached 936 hPa. This indicates that Joe in 1986 was the strongest of the three recorded storms, demonstrating that late-autumn typhoons can still develop very intense core structures when sea-surface temperatures are favorable.
Typhoon Joe routes
| Time | Position | Intensity | Wind · Pressure | Move toward |
|---|
| 11-18 08:00 | 12.5°N
131.3°E | Tropical Depression | 10 m/s
1006 hPa | - |
| 11-18 20:00 | 13°N
129°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s
1000 hPa | WNW |
| 11-19 08:00 | 13.6°N
127°E | Tropical Storm | 20 m/s
995 hPa | WNW |
| 11-19 20:00 | 14.4°N
125.5°E | Severe Tropical Storm | 25 m/s
985 hPa | WNW |
| 11-20 08:00 | 15.3°N
124.5°E | Severe Tropical Storm | 30 m/s
975 hPa | NNW |
| 11-20 20:00 | 16.8°N
124.2°E | Typhoon | 40 m/s
965 hPa | NNW |
| 11-21 08:00 | 18°N
123.9°E | Severe Typhoon | 45 m/s
940 hPa | N |
| 11-21 20:00 | 19.6°N
124°E | Severe Typhoon | 45 m/s
936 hPa | N |
| 11-22 08:00 | 20.6°N
124.1°E | Typhoon | 35 m/s
960 hPa | NNE |
| 11-22 20:00 | 21.6°N
124.3°E | Typhoon | 35 m/s
970 hPa | NNE |
| 11-23 08:00 | 22.5°N
124.9°E | Typhoon | 35 m/s
980 hPa | NNE |
| 11-23 20:00 | 23.3°N
125.5°E | Severe Tropical Storm | 25 m/s
990 hPa | NE |
| 11-24 08:00 | 24°N
126.5°E | Tropical Storm | 20 m/s
998 hPa | NE |
| 11-24 20:00 | 24.9°N
128°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s
1000 hPa | ENE |
| 11-25 08:00 | 25.8°N
130.4°E | Tropical Depression | 10 m/s
1004 hPa | ENE |
Sampled rows shown; all 29 track points are available on the interactive map or via the public API .
FAQ
Typhoon Joe is the 1986 Typhoon.
Typhoon Joe's international code is 198626, is the 26th Typhoon of 1986, international name JOE.
Where does Typhoon Joe's track data come from?
Track data sources: China Meteorological Administration Tropical Cyclone Best Track Dataset (CMA-STI); wind speeds are 2-minute sustained wind speeds.
What is the highest level of Typhoon Joe?
Typhoon Joe peak intensity is Severe Typhoon, max wind 45m/s, minimum central pressure 936 hPa.
Typhoon JoeLandfall?
According to records, Typhoon Joe is not in our coastal landfall.
Where can I view typhoon Joe's live track map?
TyphoonSays (taifengshuo.com) provides typhoon Joe's Track history map, multinational meteorological agency Forecast comparison, windshield range with IntensityTrend, page address: https://taifengshuo.com/typhoon/198626.
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