Analysis of Typhoon Shirley's Track Characteristics
Track and Movement Characteristics
Typhoon Shirley (197804) 的生命史始 at 1978年6月26日00时, formedPosition位 at lat 11.1°N, 129.5°的Northwest Pacific洋面. 在初始阶段, 该系统呈现稳定的W行Trend. 从6月26日至6月27日中午, 其纬度基本维持在11.3°N附近, 经度由129.5°E快速W移至122.8°E, 表明引导气流强劲且 direction单一. 6月27日18时至6月28日12时, 路径出现轻微S折, 纬度降至10.3°N, 随后在S海E部海域经历短暂的停滞与回旋, 经度在117°E至117.4°E之间小幅摆动.
From June 29 00, the system turned toward NW, the latitude gradually N raised, the length continued to W. Until June 30 18 dispersed at lat 14.1°N, 108.1° near, the entire course did not landfall any land. The overall path presented 'first right W, after SW microfracture, after NW' form, Moving speed faster in the pre-period, medium slowdown, later with toward NW turn toward slightly accelerated.
Intensity evolution and historical comparison
Thro its lifecycle, Shirley has alwaysined the Tropical Depression level, failing to develop to the Tropical Storm or higher Intensity level. Its Max Wind slowly enhanced from the initial 7m/s, to June 27 at 00 to 10m/s, June 27 at 18 at 12m/s andined a longer Time. In the end of life, that is, June 29 at 18 to June 30 at 12, the intensity peaked, the max wind was 17m/s, then weakened to 15m/s before dispersal. by the at data, the lowest air pressure deficiency, can only be judged by the wind speed to change its Intensity more slowly, without a dramatic explosion enhancement process.
Looking back at previous records, 1974 Shirley (197418) and 1968 Shirley (196808) both reached the level of Typhoon; while 1965 Shirley (196518) and 1963 Shirley (196303) reached the level of Super Typhoon.
Typhoon Shirley Track Data Table
| Time | Position | Intensity | Wind · Pressure | Move toward |
|---|
| 06-27 08:00 | 11°N 129.7°E | Tropical Depression | 10 m/s 1005 hPa | - |
| 06-27 14:00 | 11.6°N 128°E | Tropical Depression | 10 m/s 1004 hPa | WNW |
| 06-27 20:00 | 12.2°N 126.5°E | Tropical Depression | 10 m/s 1004 hPa | WNW |
| 06-28 02:00 | 12°N 124.5°E | Tropical Depression | 10 m/s 1004 hPa | W |
| 06-28 08:00 | 11.8°N 122°E | Tropical Depression | 10 m/s 1004 hPa | W |
| 06-28 14:00 | 11.9°N 120.5°E | Tropical Depression | 12 m/s 1002 hPa | W |
| 06-28 20:00 | 12°N 119°E | Tropical Depression | 12 m/s 1002 hPa | W |
| 06-29 02:00 | 12.1°N 118°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s 1000 hPa | W |
| 06-29 08:00 | 12.2°N 117°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s 1000 hPa | W |
| 06-29 14:00 | 12.3°N 116°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s 1000 hPa | W |
| 06-29 20:00 | 12.5°N 115°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s 1000 hPa | WNW |
| 06-30 02:00 | 12.8°N 113.5°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s 998 hPa | WNW |
| 06-30 08:00 | 13°N 112.5°E | Tropical Storm | 20 m/s 995 hPa | WNW |
| 06-30 14:00 | 13.2°N 111.2°E | Tropical Storm | 20 m/s 995 hPa | W |
| 06-30 20:00 | 13.5°N 109.6°E | Tropical Storm | 20 m/s 995 hPa | W |
| 07-01 02:00 | 14°N 108.2°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s 995 hPa | WNW |
| 07-01 08:00 | 14.8°N 106.7°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s 995 hPa | WNW |
| 07-01 14:00 | 15.7°N 104.8°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s 996 hPa | WNW |
| 07-01 20:00 | 16°N 103.5°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s 996 hPa | WNW |
| 07-02 02:00 | 17°N 102.7°E | Tropical Depression | 12 m/s 998 hPa | NW |
| 07-02 08:00 | 17.5°N 102°E | Tropical Depression | 10 m/s 1000 hPa | NW |
FAQ
Shirley was the 1978 Typhoon.
Shirley's 197804 is the historical number used by the CMA, meaning No. 4 of 1978, while its international name was SHIRLEY. The international numbering system for the Northwest Pacific did not begin until 1981. Before then, each agency maintained its own numbering, so the numbers assigned by the JMA (Japan), the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (USA), and China's meteorological authorities to the same typhoon may differ and cannot be compared directly.
Where does the track data for Typhoon Shirley come from?
Track data sources: China Meteorological Administration Tropical Cyclone Best Track Dataset (CMA-STI); wind speeds are 2-minute sustained wind speeds.
What was the peak intensity level of Typhoon Shirley?
Typhoon Shirley peak intensity is Tropical Storm, max wind 20m/s, minimum central pressure 995 hPa.
Did Typhoon Shirley make landfall?
According to records, Typhoon Shirley did not make landfall on China's coast.
Where can I view typhoon Shirley's live track map?
TyphoonSays (taifengshuo.com) provides typhoon Shirley's Track history map, multinational meteorological agency Forecast comparison, wind circle range and IntensityTrend, page address: https://taifengshuo.com/typhoon/197804.
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